Time to start thinking about The Open. Here in short is a look at the odds today, among other things.
Tiger Woods (5/1): I feel like we’re getting very close to me moving back to a one bedroom apartment, driving a Toyota Camry, and making next to no money. Why? Because it’s turn back the clock to 2000 time. I’m not a Tiger fan per se, but I think what is happening now is AWESOME. Golf is simply better when the red shirted boogey man is in the mix. I don’t know for sure if we get to see guys standing over a yellow puddle on Sunday afternoon again, but Brandon de Jonge proves it’s possible. The needle has been moved, Tiger’s back, and it’s a tremendous amount of fun to watch. If you want to wager on Tiger, now is the time to do it, at 5/1 it’s a steal of a deal. By this time next week you’ll be lucky to get 3/1, the week after that you’ll be lucky to get 3/2. (I think you can guess what I think the outcome of this week’s tournament at Greenbrier is going to be)
Lee Westwood, Rory McIlroy (12/1): Westwood in The Open over the last five years has gone T32, Cut, T3, 2, Cut. Rory over the same period has gone T42, DNP, T47, T3, T25. It’s not great. I feel that Westwood will finish ahead of Rory this year; but don’t see either figuring into winning. Frankly, I’m not sure what is going on with Rory; however I think it involves tennis and a certain blonde who plays it. At 12/1 I’m not sure I could advocate taking either.
Luke Donald (16/1): See the US Open.
Paddy Harrington (20/1): Think that he does well here, but I’m not sure he’s in form enough to stare down Tiger on Sunday and win. I like Paddy in a top 10 prop bet more than as a winner.
Phil (22/1): Started the season well, has ran out of gas as of late. I’ll wait to see how he does this weekend at the Greenbrier, but I’m not holding out much hope. More to come later.
Justin Rose, Sergio Garcia (33/1): I like Rose here more than Garcia. Before the season began there wasn’t many pundits that did not have Sergio as the winner of a major this year. Then he comes out and says that mentally he doesn’t have what it takes to win a major *GULP*. If he was going to win one this year, this is where it’d be, however you have to take the man at his word. Rose started the season strongly, and has performed above average ever since. Like Harrington, I like Rose in a top 10 prop more than winning.
Ernie Els (40/1): Will he putt? If you answer that question with a yes, Els is a tremendous value at 40/1. I answer it with a half on the fence no. Still though, as seen in the US Open, he’ll give himself a chance in these types of spots. At 40/1 you’re just putting yourself on the board with players who you feel have a chance. I like the value here.
Ian Poulter (50/1): He will win an Open, I’m certain of it. If Tiger isn’t in contention I like Ian’s chances. If Tiger is there or there abouts on Sunday I do not.
My super clever, out of nowhere to the public pick: Rafa Cabrera-Bello. He’s not on the board yet as a future, but I like a lot of what I saw from Rafa on Sunday at the Irish Open. Once he goes on the board I predict it’ll be north of 50/1, that is value the likes of which you rarely see. (Update: He’s now out there, 100/1, jump on that like a house on fire). My second clever pick is Paul Lawrie, he also is not on the board yet.